import pandas as pd import numpy as np import matplotlib.pyplot as plt from scipy.optimize import curve_fit # --- Dati --- df = pd.read_csv("data.csv") df["time_s"] = df["time since start [ms]"] / 1000.0 T_INF = 22.99 # temperatura ambiente [°C] T_START = 115.0 # inizio finestra di fit [s] T1 = 115.0 # riferimento 1° esponenziale (fisso) T2 = 117.5 # riferimento 2° esponenziale (fisso) W_ZERO_START = 115.9 W_ZERO_END = 117.2 mask = df["time_s"] >= T_START t_fit = df.loc[mask, "time_s"].values T_fit = df.loc[mask, "temp_obj IR [C]"].values # Pesi espliciti: w=0 nella zona di transizione sigma = np.where( (t_fit >= W_ZERO_START) & (t_fit <= W_ZERO_END), 1e10, 1.0 ) # --- Modello doppio esponenziale --- def modello(t, A1, tau1, A2, tau2): return (T_INF + A1 * np.exp(-(t - T1) / tau1) + A2 * np.exp(-(t - T2) / tau2)) # Stime iniziali dai fit singoli p0 = [194.51, 13.17, 154.94, 17.12] bounds = ([0, 0.1, 0, 0.1], [np.inf, np.inf, np.inf, np.inf]) popt, pcov = curve_fit( modello, t_fit, T_fit, p0=p0, sigma=sigma, absolute_sigma=True, method="trf", bounds=bounds ) A1_fit, tau1_fit, A2_fit, tau2_fit = popt perr = np.sqrt(np.diag(pcov)) # --- R² (solo punti con peso pieno) --- mask_w = (t_fit < W_ZERO_START) | (t_fit > W_ZERO_END) T_pred_w = modello(t_fit[mask_w], *popt) ss_res = np.sum((T_fit[mask_w] - T_pred_w) ** 2) ss_tot = np.sum((T_fit[mask_w] - T_fit[mask_w].mean()) ** 2) r2 = 1 - ss_res / ss_tot print(f"A1 = {A1_fit:.4f} ± {perr[0]:.4f} °C") print(f"tau1 = {tau1_fit:.4f} ± {perr[1]:.4f} s") print(f"A2 = {A2_fit:.4f} ± {perr[2]:.4f} °C") print(f"tau2 = {tau2_fit:.4f} ± {perr[3]:.4f} s") print(f"R² = {r2:.6f} (punti con peso pieno)") # --- Curve per il plot --- t_curve = np.linspace(T_START, df["time_s"].max(), 1000) T_tot = modello(t_curve, *popt) T_exp1 = T_INF + A1_fit * np.exp(-(t_curve - T1) / tau1_fit) T_exp2 = T_INF + A2_fit * np.exp(-(t_curve - T2) / tau2_fit) # --- Plot --- fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 5)) ax.plot(t_fit, T_fit, color="steelblue", linewidth=0.8, label="Dati raw (temp_obj)") ax.axvspan(W_ZERO_START, W_ZERO_END, color="orange", alpha=0.25, label=f"Zona esclusa [{W_ZERO_START}–{W_ZERO_END} s]") ax.plot(t_curve, T_exp1, color="tomato", linewidth=1.2, linestyle=":", label=rf"$T_\infty + A_1 e^{{-(t-{T1})/\tau_1}}$ ($A_1$={A1_fit:.1f}, $\tau_1$={tau1_fit:.2f} s)") ax.plot(t_curve, T_exp2, color="seagreen", linewidth=1.2, linestyle=":", label=rf"$T_\infty + A_2 e^{{-(t-{T2})/\tau_2}}$ ($A_2$={A2_fit:.1f}, $\tau_2$={tau2_fit:.2f} s)") ax.plot(t_curve, T_tot, color="purple", linewidth=2, linestyle="--", label="Somma (fit totale)") ax.set_xlabel("Tempo [s]") ax.set_ylabel("Temperatura [°C]") ax.set_title(f"Fit doppio esponenziale | R² = {r2:.4f}") ax.legend(fontsize=8) ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3) plt.tight_layout() plt.savefig("fit_doppio_esponenziale.png", dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight") plt.show()